Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002413 0.002563 0.002722 0.002906 0.003114 0.003341 0.003612
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002218 0.002428 0.002665 0.002956 0.003308 0.003728 0.004279
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002052 0.002296 0.002582 0.002950 0.003422 0.004027 0.004894
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001907 0.002167 0.002482 0.002902 0.003467 0.004234 0.005426
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001841 0.002124 0.002478 0.002968 0.003661 0.004667 0.006389
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001777 0.002077 0.002461 0.003011 0.003824 0.005080 0.007454
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001691 0.001993 0.002387 0.002963 0.003844 0.005269 0.008183
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001601 0.001898 0.002290 0.002873 0.003784 0.005311 0.008632
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001548 0.001849 0.002252 0.002864 0.003850 0.005580 0.009692
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001450 0.001735 0.002117 0.002700 0.003643 0.005316 0.009364
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001417 0.001707 0.002100 0.002712 0.003732 0.005626 0.010668
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001398 0.001696 0.002107 0.002761 0.003886 0.006098 0.012776
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001356 0.001654 0.002070 0.002741 0.003925 0.006357 0.014523
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001333 0.001638 0.002069 0.002779 0.004078 0.006915 0.018228
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001300 0.001605 0.002041 0.002771 0.004140 0.007283 0.021858
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001260 0.001561 0.001994 0.002727 0.004127 0.007454 0.024866
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001248 0.001556 0.002007 0.002786 0.004329 0.008289 0.036538
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001231 0.001545 0.002008 0.002824 0.004495 0.009104 0.057404
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001198 0.001507 0.001966 0.002782 0.004478 0.009321 0.073848
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001158 0.001458 0.001905 0.002700 0.004365 0.009174 0.079757
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001137 0.001436 0.001884 0.002693 0.004419 0.009658 0.134166
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001086 0.001369 0.001790 0.002545 0.004133 0.008794 0.086900
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001072 0.001355 0.001783 0.002556 0.004223 0.009397 0.175798